Rental market · Chestnut Ridge, NY · Village
Chestnut Ridge, NY: average rent, home values, and rental yield
Middle Atlantic · Population 10,557
DatasetCity Market Score, model balanced4,812 of 5,233 tracked U.S. markets rankedgenerated 2026-10-06Latest source releases: Zillow ZHVI/ZORI 2026-08 · Census ACS 5-yr 2024 · Census PEP 2025 · Census BPS 2025 · BLS LAUS 2025 · Redfin 2026-05 · FBI CDE 2025How this is built
F29.1
#4,351 of 4,812 ranked markets
Overall Score 29.1 · stronger than 10% of ranked markets
Confidence 70/100 · 2 of 13 factors imputed, 2 dropped
On the ranked lists: one of 1,084 fastest-growing markets. List pages show the top 100.
Grade F: the biggest single drag is Cash Flow, 6.4 of 100 at 35% of the score, which is 78% of the distance to a perfect 100. See the arithmetic
Why this market does or does not qualify
Overall City Market Score rank #4,351 of 4,812. The standardized Buy & Hold screen cannot produce a complete result for this city. Why rank and cash flow can disagree
Supported strengths
Growth 72/100 and Stability 60/100.
Measured weakness
Cash Flow is the weakest category at 6/100.
Missing screen inputs: investor-entry price estimate. Primary evidenced risk: expense-adjusted yield is the weakest measured factor (1st national percentile).
Data caveat: no missing input is treated as a zero cost. Bring an actual property’s price, rent, taxes, condition, and insurance quote to the calculator.
Why this grade
Overall 29.1 is a weighted geometric mean of the three category scores. Because they are multiplied rather than averaged, their distances from a perfect 100 combine as an exact identity, and each category's share of that distance is the arithmetic below, not an estimate. Cash Flow carries 78% of it, which is what makes it the binding constraint on this grade.
Cash Flow · 35% weight
6.4 / 100
78% of the shortfall
Growth · 35% weight
72.2 / 100
9% of the shortfall
Stability · 30% weight
59.7 / 100
13% of the shortfall
Inside Cash Flow, the shortfall splits over the factors the model scored here, exactly, in proportion to their published weights. The largest component is expense-adjusted yield (weight 22 of the category's 35, 1st national percentile, 66% of the category's own shortfall); next is price to income (weight 13 of the category's 35, 15th national percentile, 34% of the category's own shortfall).
What this is not. It is not a claim that a different value on any one factor would produce a different score or a different grade. Every factor is scored as a national percentile and the grade is a percentile cut against the other 4,812 ranked markets, so this market's position moves only relative to all of them, never on its own. 2 of the 13 factors could not be measured for this market (violent crime, property crime) and had no credible reference group to impute from, so they are dropped: each category renormalizes over the factors that remain, and a dropped factor is never scored as neutral. 2 of the 13 factors were imputed (rent growth, home-value growth): the model had no city input of the kind it scores, so it used a reference median instead of a measurement (the same county, or the same state and population band; a national median for a yield cost input), and the factor table marks each one as a fallback.
How Chestnut Ridge ranks nationally
Each row places Chestnut Ridge among all 4,812 ranked U.S. markets: the marker is this city, the centre tick is the national median, and the bar runs from one to the other. Further right is better for an investor; inverted measures (crime, vacancy, price-to-income) are already flipped.
Overall Scorethe flagship rank
29.110th percentile
Cash Flowyield & affordability
63rd percentile
Growthpopulation, jobs, income
7287th percentile
Stabilitycrime, vacancy, unemployment
6073rd percentile
Expense-adjusted yield-0.1% net of costs, scored at a Census open-ended code
11st percentile
Affordabilityprice-to-income 6.4×
15more affordable than 15%
Rental vacancy3.4% vacant
74tighter than 74%
Population growth2.3%/yr (capped)
8888th percentile
Job growth1.0%/yr (capped)
6868th percentile
What a deal looks like here
We can't build a representative buy-box for Chestnut Ridge yet: no investor-entry price (Zillow Bottom-Tier ZHVI) could be identity-matched to this market. Rather than fabricate numbers, bring your own price and rent to the calculator.
Open the cash-flow calculator →Market Negotiation Leverage
Strong buyer leverage (88th percentile among 6,196 cities with Redfin coverage)
Equal-weight composite of three Redfin signals’ national percentiles (days on market 85, months of supply 7.0, sale-to-list 96.9%), direction-adjusted so a higher percentile always means more room for a buyer to negotiate. This is a cross-sectional snapshot against every other tracked city today, not a seasonal or historical baseline for this specific city (no multi-year time series is committed for this data). Not a prediction of what any specific seller will accept. Source: Redfin Data Center. See how this is calculated.
Median home value (Census ACS) $720,100
Median rent $1,710/mo
Population 10,557
Region Middle Atlantic
Price & rent history
Home value: no Zillow ZHVI series - Zillow does not cover this city (Census-only). Nothing plotted rather than estimated.
Asking rent: no Zillow ZORI series - Zillow does not cover this city (Census-only). Nothing plotted rather than estimated.
ZIP markets in Chestnut Ridge
4 Census ZIP Codes (ZCTAs) officially overlap Chestnut Ridge by land area · 4 data-eligible for subscores. Overlap is Census land-area share, not a population or address share. Each ZIP Code's overall Rental Investor ZIP Score, grade and canonical national rank are shown below (the two component signals, affordability and rental market, are separate percentiles). There is no city-scoped ZIP rank: city overlap isn't a ranking universe, so only the national rank is shown. These ZIP rankings sit in the ZIP universe only, never mixed with, and not directly comparable to, Chestnut Ridge's city ranking. Vintage: the Key metric column below is Census ACS 2020–2024 (5-year), the same survey release as the figures used above for Chestnut Ridge itself; a city and a ZIP Code are different geographies, so the same measure can still show a different number at each level.
4 of 4 overlapping ZIP Code areas, scoredgrade, overall Rental Investor ZIP Score and national rank for each, on a separate model from this page's city scoreShow table
| ZIP Code | Overallgrade · natl rank | Tier · overlap | Affordabilitysignal · natl rank | Rental marketsignal · natl rank | Key metric |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10977Chestnut Ridge | C 44#11,790 nat | RankedPrimary | 14#19,935 of 20,132 · bottom 1% | 80#278 of 20,132 · top 1% | 3.3%Survey yield |
| 10952Airmont | C 45#11,381 nat | Ranked10% overlap | 19#19,510 of 20,132 · bottom 3% | 82#98 of 20,132 · top 1% | 2.4%Survey yield |
| 10965Pearl River | D 36#14,848 nat | Ranked4.4% overlap | 17#19,681 of 20,132 · bottom 2% | 52#8,681 of 20,132 · top 43% | 4.0%Survey yield |
| 10954Nanuet | C 55#6,276 nat | Ranked0.6% overlap | 28#17,920 of 20,132 · bottom 11% | 69#2,262 of 20,132 · top 11% | 5.1%Survey yield |
The honest read
Chestnut Ridge scores 29/100 overall (grade F): 6 for Cash Flow, 72 for Growth, and 60 for Stability, each a 0–100 score built from the factors in that category. The scenario above shows what a representative investor-entry purchase pencils out to at today's rates. Everything we can measure is in the table below, with its source.
Every factor, shown
The Overall score blends three category scores built from thirteen factors: Cash Flow (35%), Growth (35%), and Stability (30%). The tag on each percentile names the category a scored factor feeds; untagged rows are context, not scored. Each band chip restates that row's percentile in words. Every value carries its source and as-of date; a fallback source or imputed value is marked fallback. How the score works.
| Factor | Value | National percentile | Source · as-of | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expense-adjusted yield fallback open-ended input | -0.1% | Bottom 10%1st percentile · Cash Flow | Census ACS · ACS 5-yr 2020-2024 | Annual rent divided by price, net of a modeled vacancy, tax, capex, and management allowance: the core of the Cash Flow category and what the score is actually computed from. The unadjusted gross yield is shown elsewhere on this page. The model scored this figure at the Census code for the median real-estate tax only as $10,000 or more. The true figure is at most what the published boundary gives. |
| Price to income fallback | 6.4x | Bottom quartile15th percentile · Cash Flow | Census ACS · ACS 5-yr 2020-2024 | Home price over local median income. Lower is cheaper relative to what people earn. Part of the Cash Flow category. |
| Population growth | 2.3%/yr | Top quartile88th percentile · Growth | Census PEP · Census PEP 2020→2025 (vintage 2025) + Census PEP 2015→2025 (vintages 2019+2025) | Census population trend for the place, capped at 4.5%/yr before scoring (diminishing returns above that rate): the heaviest factor in the Growth category. |
| Job growth | 1.0%/yr (observed 1.1%/yr, capped for scoring) | Above median68th percentile · Growth | BLS LAUS (county) · BLS LAUS county annual 2019→2025 (pre-COVID anchor; 2025 is an 11-month average) + BLS LAUS county annual 2015→2025 | County employment trend, capped at 4.0%/yr before scoring (diminishing returns above that rate). A Growth-category factor. |
| Income growth | 3.3%/yr | Bottom quartile21st percentile · Growth | Census ACS · ACS 5-yr 2020-2024 | Local median-income trend. A Growth-category factor. |
| Rent growth fallback | 5.9%/yr | Top 10%95th percentile · Growth | Model cohort median (eligible county or state/population cohort); no city-specific observation. Published 2026-10-06 | A 40/60 blend of 3-year and 10-year rent trend (the model's own weighting). A Growth-category factor. |
| Home-value growth fallback | 6.0%/yr | Top quartile83rd percentile · Growth | Model cohort median (eligible county or state/population cohort); no city-specific observation. Published 2026-10-06 | A 40/60 blend of 3-year and 10-year price trend (the model's own weighting). A small Growth-category factor. |
| Violent crime | not measured | - | FBI Crime Data Explorer: no agency report for this place | Reported violent crimes per 100,000 residents a year (the FBI's monthly agency rates, times 12). No agency reported this place to the FBI and no credible reference group exists, so the score drops this factor and Stability renormalizes over the rest. City-level data cannot resolve within-neighborhood risk. |
| Property crime | not measured | - | FBI Crime Data Explorer: no agency report for this place | Reported property crimes per 100,000 residents a year. No agency reported this place to the FBI and no credible reference group exists, so the score drops this factor and Stability renormalizes over the rest. |
| Unemployment | 3.2% | Top quartile88th percentile · Stability | BLS LAUS (county) · BLS LAUS county annual 2025 (11-month average) | County unemployment rate. Lower is steadier, a Stability-category factor. |
| Rental vacancy | 3.4% | Above median74th percentile · Stability | Census ACS B25004 · ACS 5-yr 2020-2024 | Share of rentals empty. Lower means more pricing power. A Stability-category factor. |
| Property tax rate open-ended input | 1.4% | Below median32nd percentile · Stability | Census ACS B25103/B25077 · ACS 5-yr 2020-2024 | Median tax over median value. A direct drag on cash flow, scored in the Stability category as carrying-cost burden. The model scored this figure at the Census code for the median real-estate tax only as $10,000 or more. The true figure is at least what the published boundary gives. |
| Months of supply | 7.0 mo | Bottom 10%7th percentile · Stability | Redfin Data Center · 2026-05-01 | Listings over sales pace. Under about 4 is a seller market, over 6 a buyer market. A Stability-category factor. |
| Days on market | 85 days | Bottom quartile10th percentile | Redfin Data Center · 2026-05-01 | How fast homes sell. Lower means more liquidity and an easier exit. Shown for context, not scored. |
| Sale-to-list ratio | 96.9% | Bottom quartile18th percentile | Redfin Data Center · 2026-05-01 | Sale price over asking. Above 100% means homes clear over ask. Shown for context, not scored. |
| Net domestic migration | -11.0/1k | Bottom 10%5th percentile | Census PEP (county) · PEP vintage 2025 | Net people moving in or out of the county, per 1,000 residents. Shown for context, not scored. |
| Building permits | 10.4/1k | Above median54th percentile | Census BPS (county) · BPS 2025 | New-construction permits per 1,000 homes. More means more supply coming. Shown for context, not scored. |
| Rent burden | 23% | Top 10%94th percentile | Census ACS B25071 · ACS 5-yr 2020-2024 | Median rent as a share of income. Higher means less headroom for increases. Shown for context, not scored. |
| Median year built | 1967 | Below median28th percentile | Census ACS B25035 · ACS 5-yr 2020-2024 | Age of the housing stock. Older stock carries more capex. Shown for context, not scored. |
| Max drawdown | not measured | - | derived | Worst peak-to-trough home-value decline on record. Shown for context, not scored. |
- * Job growth and unemployment are county-level (BLS LAUS, county FIPS 36087); large multi-county cities inherit their dominant county’s figures.
- Yield uses ACS median gross rent and home value (Census survey data, 2020–2024 average) because Zillow does not cover this city - not directly comparable to Zillow-based yields.
- The Census Bureau publishes this city's median real-estate tax only as "$10,000 or more" (ACS table B25103): an open-ended range, not an estimate, which the data carries as the code $10,001. Figures built on it are bounds: property tax rate at least 1.38%. The City Market Score uses the code as stored, so its property tax rate was scored at the code, not at a measured figure.
- Data flag: cashYield: ACS fallback (no Zillow rent+value).
- Data flag: rentGrowth: ACS CAGR fallback. The score does not use a city figure for this factor: it uses the model cohort median shown in the factor table.
- Data flag: appreciation: ACS CAGR fallback. The score does not use a city figure for this factor: it uses the model cohort median shown in the factor table.
Where to go next from Chestnut Ridge
Every link below is this market's own data taken one step further: its neighbours in the ranking, the same numbers side by side, or the same numbers in a calculator you can change.
Nearby in the New York rankings, and national look-alikes
- Mount Vernon, NYGrade F · score 29/100 · yield 5.2% · $601,432 · #4,331 nationalZillow ZHVI $238k (2000) to $601k (2026), +153%
- Malverne, NYGrade F · score 29/100 · yield 3.5% · $819,260 · #4,346 nationalZillow ZHVI $234k (2000) to $819k (2026), +250%
- Endicott, NYGrade F · score 29/100 · yield 7.4% · $207,126 · #4,366 nationalZillow ZHVI $80k (2000) to $207k (2026), +160%
- New Paltz, NYGrade F · score 29/100 · yield 4.8% · $414,500 · #4,376 national
- Williamsport, PAGrade F · score 29/100 · yield 5.8% · $211,474 · #4,350 nationalZillow ZHVI $93k (2000) to $211k (2026), +128%
- Treasure Island, FLGrade F · score 29/100 · yield 5.8% · $526,231 · #4,352 nationalZillow ZHVI $164k (2000) to $526k (2026), +222%
- Corvallis, ORGrade F · score 29/100 · yield 3.7% · $560,117 · #4,349 nationalZillow ZHVI $176k (2000) to $560k (2026), +218%
Compare Chestnut Ridge head to head
- Chestnut Ridge vs Mount Vernon vs WilliamsportThe pre-filled matchup: nearest in-state rank and closest national grade.
- Chestnut Ridge vs Malverne, NYGrade F · yield 3.5%
- Chestnut Ridge vs Treasure Island, FLGrade F · yield 5.8%
- Pick your own opponentAny of the 5,233 tracked cities.
Underwrite a Chestnut Ridge deal
- Cap rateOpens on Chestnut Ridge's own entry price and rent. Change either one.
- Cash flow & DSCRMonthly cash flow and DSCR, prefilled with this market's numbers.
- Mortgage paymentP&I on Chestnut Ridge's entry price at the assumptions shown above.
- All marketsCompare Chestnut Ridge against 4,812 ranked cities.
- New York ZIP CodesEvery New York ZIP Code area (Census ZCTAs), scored separately from the city rankings.
- Ranked listsSix lists, each with a disclosed entry rule.
Ranked lists: Highest yield · Cheapest vs. income · Rent covers the mortgage · Under $200k · Fastest-growing · Most stable
For learning, not advice. A market screen from public data - not a forecast, not underwriting, not a recommendation to buy anywhere.