Rental market · Calistoga, CA · Incorporated city

Calistoga, CA: average rent, home values, and rental yield

On this page

Pacific · Population 5,111

DatasetCity Market Score, model balanced4,812 of 5,233 tracked U.S. markets rankedgenerated 2026-10-06Latest source releases: Zillow ZHVI/ZORI 2026-08 · Census ACS 5-yr 2024 · Census PEP 2025 · Census BPS 2025 · BLS LAUS 2025 · Redfin 2026-05 · FBI CDE 2025How this is built
F17.2
#4,729 of 4,812 ranked markets
Overall Score 17.2 · stronger than 2% of ranked markets
Confidence 67/100 · 1 of 13 factors imputed, 3 dropped
Grade F: the biggest single drag is Cash Flow, 8.3 of 100 at 35% of the score, which is 50% of the distance to a perfect 100. See the arithmetic

Why this market does or does not qualify

Overall City Market Score rank #4,729 of 4,812. The standardized Buy & Hold screen cannot produce a complete result for this city. Why rank and cash flow can disagree

Insufficient data

Supported strengths
Stability 40/100 and Growth 17/100.

Measured weakness
Cash Flow is the weakest category at 8/100.

Missing screen inputs: measured local property-tax rate. Primary evidenced risk: price-to-income affordability is the weakest measured factor (1st national percentile).

Data caveat: no missing input is treated as a zero cost. Bring an actual property’s price, rent, taxes, condition, and insurance quote to the calculator.

Why this grade

Overall 17.2 is a weighted geometric mean of the three category scores. Because they are multiplied rather than averaged, their distances from a perfect 100 combine as an exact identity, and each category's share of that distance is the arithmetic below, not an estimate. Cash Flow carries 50% of it, which is what makes it the binding constraint on this grade.

Cash Flow · 35% weight
8.3 / 100
50% of the shortfall
Growth · 35% weight
17.4 / 100
35% of the shortfall
Stability · 30% weight
39.8 / 100
16% of the shortfall

Inside Cash Flow, the shortfall splits over the factors the model scored here, exactly, in proportion to their published weights. The largest component is expense-adjusted yield (weight 22 of the category's 35, 13th national percentile, 60% of the category's own shortfall); next is price to income (weight 13 of the category's 35, 1st national percentile, 40% of the category's own shortfall).

What this is not. It is not a claim that a different value on any one factor would produce a different score or a different grade. Every factor is scored as a national percentile and the grade is a percentile cut against the other 4,812 ranked markets, so this market's position moves only relative to all of them, never on its own. 3 of the 13 factors could not be measured for this market (rent growth, violent crime, property crime) and had no credible reference group to impute from, so they are dropped: each category renormalizes over the factors that remain, and a dropped factor is never scored as neutral. 1 of the 13 factor was imputed (property tax rate): the model had no city input of the kind it scores, so it used a reference median instead of a measurement (the same county, or the same state and population band; a national median for a yield cost input), and the factor table marks it as a fallback.

How Calistoga ranks nationally

Each row places Calistoga among all 4,812 ranked U.S. markets: the marker is this city, the centre tick is the national median, and the bar runs from one to the other. Further right is better for an investor; inverted measures (crime, vacancy, price-to-income) are already flipped.

Overall Scorethe flagship rank
17.22nd percentile
Cash Flowyield & affordability
84th percentile
Growthpopulation, jobs, income
173rd percentile
Stabilitycrime, vacancy, unemployment
4025th percentile
Expense-adjusted yield1.2% net of costs
1313th percentile
Affordabilityprice-to-income 12.5×
1more affordable than 1%
Rental vacancy7.3% vacant
25tighter than 25%
Population growth-0.8%/yr (capped)
55th percentile
Job growth-0.1%/yr (capped)
2020th percentile

What a deal looks like here

A market-level buy-box for Calistoga, built from this market's own numbers: the investor-entry price, its rent, and local carrying costs. The market grade is a quality screen; the deal verdict below is this financing scenario only. An illustrative scenario, not a listing.

Target buy price
$725,067
Expected rent
$2,961 /mo
Rent-to-price
0.41%
Cap rate
2.4%
Cash-on-cash
-13.6% at 25% dn
NOI-based DSCR
0.41

This illustrative 25%-down scenario is negative; cash-flow break-even is around 73% down.

Buy target = Zillow Bottom-Tier ZHVI (5th–35th percentile) $725,067; typical home value $1,065,148. Rent = Zillow ZORI typical asking rent. Assumptions: 25% down, 7% / 30-yr, 5% vacancy, 8% management on collected rent, 5% maintenance, 5% CapEx reserve excluded from NOI and subtracted from cash flow, 0.5% insurance, 1.10% property tax. Illustrative market-level scenario: not a listing, appraisal, recommendation, or underwriting decision. Zillow price and rent as of 2026-08-31; dataset generated 2026-10-06.

Market Negotiation Leverage

Strong buyer leverage (91st percentile among 6,196 cities with Redfin coverage)

Equal-weight composite of three Redfin signals’ national percentiles (days on market 73, months of supply 6.7, sale-to-list 92.3%), direction-adjusted so a higher percentile always means more room for a buyer to negotiate. This is a cross-sectional snapshot against every other tracked city today, not a seasonal or historical baseline for this specific city (no multi-year time series is committed for this data). Not a prediction of what any specific seller will accept. Source: Redfin Data Center. See how this is calculated.

Typical home value $1,065,148 Median rent $2,961/mo Population 5,111 Region Pacific

Price & rent history

Home value $361,593 → $1,065,148 (2000-01–2026-08)

Asking rent: only 2 data points (2026-07 → 2026-08) - too little history to chart honestly.

Source: Zillow ZHVI (home value), quarterly from 2000-01, monthly from 2016-09 to 2026-08. Change the range or hover to read any point. Gaps in the source series are left as gaps - never interpolated.

ZIP markets in Calistoga

1 Census ZIP Code (ZCTAs) officially overlap Calistoga by land area · 1 data-eligible for subscores. Overlap is Census land-area share, not a population or address share. Each ZIP Code's overall Rental Investor ZIP Score, grade and canonical national rank are shown below (the two component signals, affordability and rental market, are separate percentiles). There is no city-scoped ZIP rank: city overlap isn't a ranking universe, so only the national rank is shown. These ZIP rankings sit in the ZIP universe only, never mixed with, and not directly comparable to, Calistoga's city ranking. Vintage: the Key metric column below is Census ACS 2020–2024 (5-year), the same survey release as the figures used above for Calistoga itself; a city and a ZIP Code are different geographies, so the same measure can still show a different number at each level.

1 of 1 overlapping ZIP Code area, scoredgrade, overall Rental Investor ZIP Score and national rank for each, on a separate model from this page's city scoreShow table
ZIP CodeOverallgrade · natl rankTier · overlapAffordabilitysignal · natl rankRental marketsignal · natl rankKey metric
94515Calistoga D 31#16,615 nat RankedPrimary 44#12,144 of 20,132 · bottom 40% 59#5,792 of 20,132 · top 29% 2.6%Survey yield
Open these 1 ZIP markets in the explorer →

The honest read

Calistoga scores 17/100 overall (grade F): 8 for Cash Flow, 17 for Growth, and 40 for Stability, each a 0–100 score built from the factors in that category. The scenario above shows what a representative investor-entry purchase pencils out to at today's rates. Everything we can measure is in the table below, with its source.

Every factor, shown

The Overall score blends three category scores built from thirteen factors: Cash Flow (35%), Growth (35%), and Stability (30%). The tag on each percentile names the category a scored factor feeds; untagged rows are context, not scored. Each band chip restates that row's percentile in words. Every value carries its source and as-of date; a fallback source or imputed value is marked fallback. How the score works.

FactorValueNational percentileSource · as-ofWhat it means
Expense-adjusted yield1.2%Bottom quartile13th percentile · Cash FlowZillow ZORI/ZHVI · 2026-08-31Annual rent divided by price, net of a modeled vacancy, tax, capex, and management allowance: the core of the Cash Flow category and what the score is actually computed from. The unadjusted gross yield is shown elsewhere on this page.
Price to income12.5xBottom 10%1st percentile · Cash FlowZillow + ACS income · 2026-08-31Home price over local median income. Lower is cheaper relative to what people earn. Part of the Cash Flow category.
Population growth-0.8%/yrBottom 10%5th percentile · GrowthCensus PEP · Census PEP 2020→2025 (vintage 2025) + Census PEP 2015→2025 (vintages 2019+2025)Census population trend for the place, capped at 4.5%/yr before scoring (diminishing returns above that rate): the heaviest factor in the Growth category.
Job growth-0.1%/yrBottom quartile20th percentile · GrowthBLS LAUS (county) · BLS LAUS county annual 2019→2025 (pre-COVID anchor; 2025 is an 11-month average) + BLS LAUS county annual 2015→2025County employment trend, capped at 4.0%/yr before scoring (diminishing returns above that rate). A Growth-category factor.
Income growth4.9%/yrBelow median48th percentile · GrowthCensus ACS · ACS 5-yr 2020-2024Local median-income trend. A Growth-category factor.
Rent growthnot measured-Census ACS · ACS 5-yr 2020-2024A 40/60 blend of 3-year and 10-year rent trend (the model's own weighting). A Growth-category factor.
Home-value growth0.6%/yrBottom 10%3rd percentile · GrowthZillow ZHVI · 3yr + 10yr to 2026-08-31A 40/60 blend of 3-year and 10-year price trend (the model's own weighting). A small Growth-category factor.
Violent crimenot measured-FBI Crime Data Explorer: no agency report for this placeReported violent crimes per 100,000 residents a year (the FBI's monthly agency rates, times 12). No agency reported this place to the FBI and no credible reference group exists, so the score drops this factor and Stability renormalizes over the rest. City-level data cannot resolve within-neighborhood risk.
Property crimenot measured-FBI Crime Data Explorer: no agency report for this placeReported property crimes per 100,000 residents a year. No agency reported this place to the FBI and no credible reference group exists, so the score drops this factor and Stability renormalizes over the rest.
Unemployment4.3%Below median42nd percentile · StabilityBLS LAUS (county) · BLS LAUS county annual 2025 (11-month average)County unemployment rate. Lower is steadier, a Stability-category factor.
Rental vacancy7.3%Below median25th percentile · StabilityCensus ACS B25004 · ACS 5-yr 2020-2024Share of rentals empty. Lower means more pricing power. A Stability-category factor.
Property tax rate fallback0.6%Top quartile80th percentile · StabilityModel cohort median (eligible county or state/population cohort); no city-specific observation. Published 2026-10-06Median tax over median value. A direct drag on cash flow, scored in the Stability category as carrying-cost burden.
Months of supply6.7 moBottom 10%8th percentile · StabilityRedfin Data Center · 2026-05-01Listings over sales pace. Under about 4 is a seller market, over 6 a buyer market. A Stability-category factor.
Days on market73 daysBottom quartile15th percentileRedfin Data Center · 2026-05-01How fast homes sell. Lower means more liquidity and an easier exit. Shown for context, not scored.
Sale-to-list ratio92.3%Bottom 10%3rd percentileRedfin Data Center · 2026-05-01Sale price over asking. Above 100% means homes clear over ask. Shown for context, not scored.
Net domestic migration-1.6/1kBelow median40th percentileCensus PEP (county) · PEP vintage 2025Net people moving in or out of the county, per 1,000 residents. Shown for context, not scored.
Building permits8.7/1kAbove median62nd percentileCensus BPS (county) · BPS 2025New-construction permits per 1,000 homes. More means more supply coming. Shown for context, not scored.
Rent burden28%Above median65th percentileCensus ACS B25071 · ACS 5-yr 2020-2024Median rent as a share of income. Higher means less headroom for increases. Shown for context, not scored.
Median year built1980Above median58th percentileCensus ACS B25035 · ACS 5-yr 2020-2024Age of the housing stock. Older stock carries more capex. Shown for context, not scored.
Max drawdown43%Bottom quartile14th percentileZillow ZHVI · 2026-08-31Worst peak-to-trough home-value decline on record. Shown for context, not scored.

Where to go next from Calistoga

Every link below is this market's own data taken one step further: its neighbours in the ranking, the same numbers side by side, or the same numbers in a calculator you can change.

Nearby in the California rankings, and national look-alikes

  • Rolling Hills Estates, CAGrade F · score 17/100 · yield 2.8% · $1,860,850 · #4,727 nationalZillow ZHVI $515k (2000) to $1.9M (2026), +262%
  • San Francisco, CAGrade F · score 17/100 · yield 3.9% · $1,424,767 · #4,728 nationalZillow ZHVI $410k (2000) to $1.4M (2026), +247%
  • Downey, CAGrade F · score 17/100 · yield 3.1% · $878,882 · #4,732 nationalZillow ZHVI $219k (2000) to $879k (2026), +302%
  • Redondo Beach, CAGrade F · score 17/100 · yield 2.9% · $1,473,182 · #4,733 nationalZillow ZHVI $354k (2000) to $1.5M (2026), +316%
  • Brigantine, NJGrade F · score 17/100 · yield 4.2% · $730,472 · #4,730 nationalZillow ZHVI $149k (2000) to $730k (2026), +391%
  • Clayton, MOGrade F · score 17/100 · yield 2.4% · $887,161 · #4,726 nationalZillow ZHVI $385k (2000) to $887k (2026), +131%
  • Pinecrest, FLGrade F · score 18/100 · yield 2.0% · $2,212,376 · #4,725 nationalZillow ZHVI $404k (2000) to $2.2M (2026), +448%

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Compare Calistoga head to head

Underwrite a Calistoga deal

  • Cap rateOpens on Calistoga's own entry price and rent. Change either one.
  • Cash flow & DSCRMonthly cash flow and DSCR, prefilled with this market's numbers.
  • Mortgage paymentP&I on Calistoga's entry price at the assumptions shown above.
  • All marketsCompare Calistoga against 4,812 ranked cities.
  • California ZIP CodesEvery California ZIP Code area (Census ZCTAs), scored separately from the city rankings.
  • Ranked listsSix lists, each with a disclosed entry rule.

Ranked lists: Highest yield · Cheapest vs. income · Rent covers the mortgage · Under $200k · Fastest-growing · Most stable

For learning, not advice. A market screen from public data - not a forecast, not underwriting, not a recommendation to buy anywhere.